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What is Managing Complexity?

by Admin on August 21, 2020

It is manging the complexity of the many knowns, unknowns and uncertainties to achieve complex goals.

If you have failed to achieve a complex goal, one or more of these factors may have contributed: (1)

  • Too many variables for logic and analogy reasoning methods
  • Unknown variables that are difficult to identify
  • Uncertain variables that are difficult to predict how they will act, react, or interact
  • Unpredictable outcomes due to change and combination effects of variables
  • Adaptive overall systems that evolve how they operate over time

Managing complexity requires understaning the unpredictability of many impacting elements (known and unknown) and strategies operating, reacting, and interacting in both certain and uncertain ways.

(1) Make Almost Anything Happen: How to Manage Complexity to Get What We Want

Our existential threat may not be AI, climate change, nor nuclear weapons, rather humans adding more complexity to the world than we can effectively manage. It already led to the collapse of every advanced society thus far.

We are adding complexity so fast that manual strategy cognition with 86 billion neurons and 100 trillion connections is not keeping up.

AI assisting with strategy cognition may be our best chance to keep up, achieve our complex goals, and address the wicked societal challenges of our day.

This is a discussion about AI, complexity and strategy cognition. – Tim Kilpatrick

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